We've previously speculated talked to some lengths about what the ongoing shift in technology will mean for jobs. There's a bunch of books on the future of jobs at the moment and you could almost plot a graph of how optimistic or pessimistic the experts are.
Some predict the apocalypse of jobs: AI will outperform us at everything, so we'll either become pets or recipients of a basic income who live their days in virtual reality. Some predict the job marvel: Never running out of problems means never running out of phantastic jobs nobody can even imagine. Only interesting jobs, of course.
PwC's own study estimates 20-40% cumulative job losses until the mid-2030s. The report estimates new jobs should roughly offset job destruction, but concedes that it is much harder to estimate job creation. In general, reports draw parallels to the industrial revolution ("who would have thought we'd have web designers and agile coaches?"). How many truck drivers you can teach coding is a whole different question, though.
Just because software is eating the world, doesn't mean that working in IT is a safe ticket into the singularity. There is a lot of insecurity too.
In IT circles, one opinion is that IT in companies will completely disappear - except for security and big data. These would become helper functions for the rest of the business and escape outsourcing into the cloud. I see signs of this happening already. By implementing G Suite, Workday, Salesforce, SAP Cloud and many other cloud-based services, companies have replaced entire IT departments.
There used to be people managing tape libraries for backups. People who cleaned data centers. Those are gone already.
The upside is that everything is IT, nowadays. Every company needs to work with data, every company needs somebody to look after sophisticated services. They just need fewer people to do it.
On the other hand, the "outside world" is invading the IT universe. All of a sudden, there are user experience people. There are data privacy lawyers. There is somebody making sure that the AI isn't picking up anybody's biases.
One thought out there is that, with sufficiently advanced AI, we will become mostly consultants. People already need a lot of consulting - we have personal trainers, teachers, financial advisors, all sorts of designers, caretakers. There should be big demand for sharing what you know and what you like to do.
We are already seeing people being paid for their craftsmanship, their originality and their ideas (instead just for their time). In the experience industry, "handmade" and "personal" are becoming qualities again. New ways how to properly pay and value such work are surfacing.
In the future, we will likely spend more time with other people, helping and teaching each other in ways algorithms can't.
You probably are, perhaps without realizing it. You're likely talking more to other departments. Perhaps there are plans to sell what your department is doing to the market. You are learning new skills, which include ever more non-technical parts.
So perhaps as next steps, share what you know. Take those digital accelerator courses, learn about GCP, volunteer and help yourself (and others) into the future. Look to G Suite as your sparring room for getting comfortable with change.
Easier said than done and all of this doesn't help the truck drivers - but I have a feeling we may be underestimating all of our capacity to ride along.
Walker/talker - conversation therapy with senior citizens, enhanced by AI cues
Financial wellness coach - coach people to reach financial goals
Memory curator - stimulate by virtually recreating past experiences
AI-enabled healthcare technician - support remote healthcare, visits patients
Digital tailor - personalize clothing, consult, manufacture on demand
Virtual Store Sherpa - accompany online shoppers
Personal data broker - help people sell (their) data to companies
This was not the kind of post to answer questions but to raise them. The way things are going, it is impossible to not wonder where all of this is going. Even if you heard all these questions before, perhaps reading about them once more offers some impulses when thinking about your current or next job, or what training to take next. Thank you for reading!